Here are some terms that you'll hear on this site and whenever you're talking about poker odds. Figure out the chances of NOT getting a Ace on each successive card flip. Feel the Las Vegas Casino in your hand. Like the previous examples, to figure your chance of something happening on multiple events, you need to calculate the chance of it NOT happening first. If you sit and think about these things while you play, it'll come to you eventually without any help at all. Multiply them and get.
Texas Holdem Poker
Probability and the ability to understand and predict human behavior are the two important keys to playing and winning at Texas Holdem. Learning how to read your opponents comes with practice, a keen sense of observation, and years of experience. The knowledge of Texas Holdem probability theory can and should be learned before you sit down with a pile of chips in front of you. For example the odds of catching your flush or straight, the odds of getting an overcard, or the proportion or percentage of times you're going to match a card on the flop to your pair of cards in your hand, and the percentage of times you can expect to lose if you do not catch your set on the flop holding a small pair are a few extremely important factors in learning how to play Texas Holdem Poker.
Knowledge of these statistics is probably the most important key to winning and is often the difference between winning and losing. In online games especially without any face to face confrontations, statistical knowledge becomes the main factor when choosing whether to bet, call, or fold. Here are some terms that you'll hear on this site and whenever you're talking about poker odds. The number of cards left in the deck that will improve your hand.
The odds you get when analyzing the current size of the pot vs. The odds you get as a result of evaluating the number of callers to a raise. The odds you are getting after the assumed result of betting for the remainder of the hand. In Texas Hold 'Em, you commonly use outs and pot odds the most.
This is also the starting point for those who want to learn about poker odds. To those out there who "are not exactly great mathematicians", you better get good because that is how it's done. At this point it's only simple division The numerator will be the number of outs you have. The denominator is the number of cards left that we haven't seen.
The result will be the percentage chance of making one of those outs. Therefore, the most math you'll be doing will be dividing small numbers by 50 pre-flop , 47 after the flop , or 46 after the turn. Before we move on, we would like to take the opportunity to clarify one point of statistical interest. A lot of you might wonder why we never factor the opponents' cards or the nonused cards referred to as the burn cards when figuring out the denominator in our mathematical interpretation.
The answer is very simple. We only consider "unseen cards" in all our mathematical calculations. If you saw what the burn cards or unused cards were, or an opponent showed you his hand, you would know that those cards are not going to be drawn and could use that information in your calculations. We typically do not know what they have, so we don't even think about it when talking about odds. Pot odds are as easy as computing outs. You compare your outs or your chance of winning to the size of the pot.
If your chance of winning is significantly better than the ratio of the pot size to a bet, then you have good pot odds. If it's lower, then you have bad pot odds. You have an outside straight draw with a board of Q, and only the river card left to make it. Any 8 or any King will finish this straight for you, so you have 8 outs four 8's and 4 K's left in the deck and 46 unseen cards left.
Now you have to decide if calling that bet is a good idea or is folding the move to make here. How do we know what to do? Simple — look for the math to help you make the right decision. What about raising into this same scenario? Another clarification is in order right about now Does that mean you should play or fold because of that money you already have in there?
That's not your money anymore! It's in a pool of money to be given to the winner. You have no "stake" to any of the funds you have already put in the pot. This is exactly where amateur Texas Holdem players make their biggest tactical mistake. They think about all the money they have put in that pot and chase after the pot even though their mathematical chances of winning are slim to none. The only stake you might have is totally mental and has no bearing on hard statistics.
The next step is to use bet odds and implied odds. That's tougher, because it involves predicting reactions of other players. With bet odds, you try to factor in how many people are going to call a raise. With implied odds, you're thinking about reactions for the rest of the game. One last example on implied odds. Your neighbor bets, and everyone else folds.
First you figure your chance of hitting your flush on the turn, and it comes out to about You'll have a So the chances would take a nasty turn if you didn't hit it! As you can see I could imagine additional scenarios that would make it impossible for you to call. What you have to do is to master simple outs and pot odds, and remember that bet and implied odds are just extended versions of those odds. If you sit and think about these things while you play, it'll come to you eventually without any help at all.
You start with a pair of Aces in the pocket. You are holding the top pair. The flop however, doesn't contain another Ace.
What are my chances of getting an Ace on the turn? You need to just figure out the number of outs and divide it by the number of cards in the deck. There's 2 more Aces. There's 47 more cards since you've seen five already two in your hand and three on the flop.
No luck on the turn, how 'bout the river? Still 2 Aces left, but one less card in the deck bringing the grand total to Now what if I wanted to get 4 Aces! What are my chances of that happening? Since we're trying to figure out the chances of getting one on the turn AND another one on the river, and not getting one on EITHER the turn or river, we don't have to reverse our thinking.
Just multiply the probability of each event happening. Chances of getting that first Ace on the turn was 0. To get the answer, multiply these to together. That's around one-tenth of a percent or one in one thousand hands that you get pocket Aces to start your hand - not often.
Hey, what were my chances of getting a pair of Aces to start off with anyway? What were my chances of getting an Ace on the flop? Now you do have to "think in reverse" as in the previous example. Zynga Poker has the strongest community of any poker game. Play seamlessly across all web and mobile versions -- just log in with your Facebook profile! Zynga Poker is the destination for casino fans and Poker players alike!
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